{
  "created": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
  "purpose": "Track contested picks where Claude and Antigravity disagree on direction. Hourly price checks determine who was right.",
  "contested_picks": [
    {
      "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 2191.97,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
      "claude_call": "LONG",
      "claude_reasoning": "7/11 systems agree LONG; Hayes Liquidity Index (79.2% conf, ML 0.878) is macro bullish; medium-term trend intact",
      "antigravity_call": "SELL",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "RSI overbought 76, LuxAlgo pred 75->36, 25 fresh SELL systems vs stale BUY consensus; prop_firm + luxalgo + predictions agree SELL",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price DOWN -9.49% \u2014 ANTIGRAVITY (SELL/AVOID) correct, CLAUDE (LONG) wrong",
      "winner": "ANTIGRAVITY",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T13:57:16Z",
          "price": 2187.37,
          "change_pct": -0.2099,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.4
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:16:59Z",
          "price": 2188.92,
          "change_pct": -0.1391,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE4(Hayes): macro direction correct but poor entry timing \u2014 use for bias not entries | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:06Z",
          "price": 2198.32,
          "change_pct": 0.2897,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE4(Hayes): macro direction correct but poor entry timing \u2014 use for bias not entries | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:38Z",
          "price": 2186.39,
          "change_pct": -0.2546,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.4,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE4(Hayes): macro direction correct but poor entry timing \u2014 use for bias not entries | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:50Z",
          "price": 1983.98,
          "change_pct": -9.4887,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.5,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): past 48h scalp window, medium-term trend may override | RULE4(Hayes): macro direction correct but poor entry timing \u2014 use for bias not entries | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals | PRICE_ACTION: sustained DOWN -9.5% \u2014 SELL thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "BUSTED: LuxAlgo SELL did NOT produce >1% drop within 48h | BUSTED: Multi-system LONG consensus failed \u2014 fresh SELL was right | NOTE: Recency-weighted analysis should replace raw system count"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTCUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 73583.26,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
      "claude_call": "LONG",
      "claude_reasoning": "6/11 systems LONG; Bollinger-Keltner Squeeze Breakout already +4.37%; cross-aggregation 0.99 confidence LONG",
      "antigravity_call": "SELL",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "RSI overbought 73, LuxAlgo pred 73->35, fresh SELL filters bearish; 23 SELL systems vs 42 stale BUY",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price DOWN -10.30% \u2014 ANTIGRAVITY (SELL/AVOID) correct, CLAUDE (LONG) wrong",
      "winner": "ANTIGRAVITY",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T13:57:16Z",
          "price": 73450.92,
          "change_pct": -0.1799,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.4
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:16:59Z",
          "price": 73371.06,
          "change_pct": -0.2884,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:06Z",
          "price": 73719.39,
          "change_pct": 0.185,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:38Z",
          "price": 73347.41,
          "change_pct": -0.3205,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.4,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:50Z",
          "price": 66004.68,
          "change_pct": -10.2993,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.5,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): past 48h scalp window, medium-term trend may override | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals | PRICE_ACTION: sustained DOWN -10.3% \u2014 SELL thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "BUSTED: LuxAlgo SELL did NOT produce >1% drop within 48h | BUSTED: Multi-system LONG consensus failed \u2014 fresh SELL was right | NOTE: Recency-weighted analysis should replace raw system count"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SOLUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 92.1,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
      "claude_call": "AVOID",
      "claude_reasoning": "Strongest bearish consensus between both AIs; Hurst Regime + Autocorrelation both SHORT; LuxAlgo RSI 71->42",
      "antigravity_call": "SELL",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "RSI 71, 14 fresh SELL systems, 49 stale BUY; fresh filters all bearish",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price DOWN -10.20% \u2014 CLAUDE + ANTIGRAVITY SELL validated",
      "winner": "CLAUDE + ANTIGRAVITY",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T13:57:17Z",
          "price": 91.87,
          "change_pct": -0.2497,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.4
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:17:00Z",
          "price": 92.34,
          "change_pct": 0.2606,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.0,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:06Z",
          "price": 92.65,
          "change_pct": 0.5972,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:39Z",
          "price": 92.23,
          "change_pct": 0.1412,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.4,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:51Z",
          "price": 82.71,
          "change_pct": -10.1954,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.5,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE1(recency>count): stale BUY consensus discounted | RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): past 48h scalp window, medium-term trend may override | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals | PRICE_ACTION: sustained DOWN -10.2% \u2014 SELL thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "BUSTED: LuxAlgo SELL did NOT produce >1% drop within 48h | NOTE: Recency-weighted analysis should replace raw system count"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XRPUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 1.4459,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
      "claude_call": "LEAN_BUY",
      "claude_reasoning": "6/11 systems LONG; Markov Zone Transition already +5.53%; Kalman Filter Trend fresh entry today",
      "antigravity_call": "NEUTRAL",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "Conflicting signals - 34 BUY systems vs 9 SELL systems; recommends wait",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price drifted DOWN -8.35% \u2014 slight edge to SHORT callers",
      "winner": "LEAN SHORT callers",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T13:57:17Z",
          "price": 1.4429,
          "change_pct": -0.2075,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.4
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:17:00Z",
          "price": 1.447,
          "change_pct": 0.0761,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.0,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:06Z",
          "price": 1.4471,
          "change_pct": 0.083,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:39Z",
          "price": 1.4394,
          "change_pct": -0.4495,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.4,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:51Z",
          "price": 1.3252,
          "change_pct": -8.3477,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.5,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals | PRICE_ACTION: sustained DOWN -8.3% \u2014 SELL thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "BUSTED: Multi-system LONG consensus failed \u2014 fresh SELL was right"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AVAXUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 10.21,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:20:00Z",
      "claude_call": "AVOID",
      "claude_reasoning": "Mega Mutation LONG conflicts with LuxAlgo SELL (RSI 77->39); recommended tightening SL",
      "antigravity_call": "HOLD",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "Mega Mutation picks fresh but RSI overbought; split decision",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price DOWN -14.20% \u2014 CLAUDE + ANTIGRAVITY SELL validated",
      "winner": "CLAUDE + ANTIGRAVITY",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T13:57:17Z",
          "price": 10.19,
          "change_pct": -0.1959,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.4
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:17:00Z",
          "price": 10.19,
          "change_pct": -0.1959,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.0,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE3(MegaMutation): tournament-proven picks (Sharpe 5-8) override short-term SELL on alts"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:06Z",
          "price": 10.18,
          "change_pct": -0.2938,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.1,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE3(MegaMutation): tournament-proven picks (Sharpe 5-8) override short-term SELL on alts"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:39Z",
          "price": 10.11,
          "change_pct": -0.9794,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.4,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): SELL valid for 24-48h scalp window | RULE3(MegaMutation): tournament-proven picks (Sharpe 5-8) override short-term SELL on alts"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:51Z",
          "price": 8.76,
          "change_pct": -14.2018,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.5,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE2(LuxAlgo-RSI): past 48h scalp window, medium-term trend may override | RULE3(MegaMutation): tournament-proven picks (Sharpe 5-8) override short-term SELL on alts | PRICE_ACTION: sustained DOWN -14.2% \u2014 SELL thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "BUSTED: LuxAlgo SELL did NOT produce >1% drop within 48h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRXUSDT",
      "baseline_price": 0.2899,
      "baseline_time": "2026-03-13T14:30:00Z",
      "claude_call": "CONTESTED_INTERNAL",
      "claude_reasoning": "Alpha Engine split: 82.5% LONG (S/R Breakout Retest, R:R 3.24) vs 75% SHORT (Bollinger-Keltner Squeeze). Cross-agg consensus 91.1% LONG. KIMI also BUY. 21.6% below 52-week high of $0.37 \u2014 room to run if breakout holds, but internal conflict is a yellow flag.",
      "antigravity_call": "NOT_SCANNED",
      "antigravity_reasoning": "TRX not in Antigravity's top 10. Pending their assessment.",
      "resolution": "[72h] Price drifted UP +7.24% \u2014 slight edge to LONG callers",
      "winner": "LEAN LONG callers",
      "hourly_checks": [
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:17:00Z",
          "price": 0.2901,
          "change_pct": 0.069,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.2,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE5(KIMI): standalone 20% WR \u2014 only trust when 3+ other systems agree | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:28:07Z",
          "price": 0.2904,
          "change_pct": 0.1725,
          "hours_elapsed": -0.0,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE5(KIMI): standalone 20% WR \u2014 only trust when 3+ other systems agree | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-13T14:42:39Z",
          "price": 0.2904,
          "change_pct": 0.1725,
          "hours_elapsed": 0.2,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE5(KIMI): standalone 20% WR \u2014 only trust when 3+ other systems agree | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals"
        },
        {
          "time": "2026-03-27T20:48:51Z",
          "price": 0.3109,
          "change_pct": 7.2439,
          "hours_elapsed": 342.3,
          "lesson_annotation": "RULE5(KIMI): standalone 20% WR \u2014 only trust when 3+ other systems agree | RULE6(SUPER): 4+ system consensus (57.5% WR, +64% PnL) historically beats individual signals | PRICE_ACTION: sustained UP +7.2% \u2014 LONG thesis gaining evidence"
        }
      ],
      "lessons_validated": "LONG callers were correct (+7.2%)"
    }
  ],
  "scoring_rules": {
    "win_threshold_pct": 1.0,
    "loss_threshold_pct": -1.0,
    "description": "LONG caller wins if price rises >1% from baseline. SELL caller wins if price drops >1%. NEUTRAL/AVOID callers win if price stays within +/-1% OR moves in the direction they leaned. Tracked for 72 hours then resolved."
  }
}